A lot has happened in Bangkok since
Saturday 10th April, a day that will be a defining one for the future
The political ball remains in play.
High in the air, the demands, accusations, recriminations and growing hatred
will rain down. Both sides are scrambling in this environment, seeking to press
home an advantage.
I don't see a space where either
side—the government or the Red shirts—will be willing to back down. Each side
has far too much at stake, too much to lose. Creditability is the new English
word on the streets. What leaders are credible after Saturday? How will they
make a case for their constituents, the other side, and the international
community? The large number of photographs and video footage on the Internet has
made it difficult to spin the facts. Though videos and photographs are open to
interpretation and one can be certain each side will have footage to support
Stalemates ultimately breakdown
when one side admits defeat. That point hasn't been reached. And stalemates can
last a long time. The violence on Saturday, as bad as it was, has not been
decisive. Both sides claim the other was the cause. So, at the moment, the
politics has become a zero sum game.
That is very unThai. Compromise and
negotiations have, in past, prevailed as the working model. That isn't
happening, at least not at the moment. Too much blood was spilled. The mood on
Monday can be defined as: bellicose, ugly with the machinery of hatred and
vilification saturating the political space like a mutating virus.
Where will the situation and
players go next? It is uncharted territory. Frankly no one can predict in the
fog of emotions when sanity and rationality will return. You will need a
fortuneteller to find an answer to that question.
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